UPDATE – June 11, 2014

After many months off, I am going to start posting regularly again. Not planning to post simulations everyday but will for certain games and tournaments. Also, will post match analysis, plays, links to articles I’m reading, and the occasional thoughts on handicapping and modeling.

 

Just a few links and plays today…….

 

2014 World Cup 

FiveThirtyEight’s World Cup Predictions

Interesting read from Goldman Sachs….”The World Cup and Economics 2014″

 

Horse Racing

Jockey7…..Why not?

 

Plays

NHL
NYR -140

 

MLB

CHC +121

NYM +110

LAA -130

ARI/HOU Under 8

ATL/COL Over 10

 

Considering a play on the Heat tomorrow and may have a few World Cup futures.

 

Follow me on Twitter. Good Luck!

 

Advertisements

2013 NCAA Tournament – Championship Game

Today I am posting the simulations and ratings for all the 2013 NCAA Tournament Regional Final games. The first round file is here, the second round file is here, the third round file is here, the Regional Semifinals file is here, the Regional Finals file is here, and the Final Four file is here.

The results are based on simulations and don’t consider handicapping and situation angles. The purpose is to give a baseline estimation for each game and adjust for handicapping considerations.

CLICK HERE for a summary of the third round games. Note this file includes the Sagarin Rating, Strength of Schedule, my NCAAB simulation, a possession-based estimate I use, the predicted game winner and the current betting line.

I am leaning Michigan +4.

Good luck with your brackets and bets. Follow me on Twitter for all my picks.

2013 NCAA Tournament – Final Four

Today I am posting the simulations and ratings for all the 2013 NCAA Tournament Regional Final games. The first round file is here, the second round file is here, the third round file is here, the Regional Semifinals file is here, and the Regional Finals file is here.

The results are based on simulations and don’t consider handicapping and situation angles. The purpose is to give a baseline estimation for each game and adjust for handicapping considerations.

CLICK HERE for a summary of the third round games. Note this file includes the Sagarin Rating, Strength of Schedule, my NCAAB simulation, a possession-based estimate I use, the predicted game winner and the current betting line.

Good luck with your brackets and bets. Follow me on Twitter for all my picks.

2013 NCAA Tournament – Regional Finals

Today I am posting the simulations and ratings for all the 2013 NCAA Tournament Regional Final games. The first round file is here, the second round file is here, the third round file is here, and the Regional Semifinals file is here.

The results are based on simulations and don’t consider handicapping and situation angles. The purpose is to give a baseline estimation for each game and adjust for handicapping considerations.

CLICK HERE for a summary of the third round games. Note this file includes the Sagarin Rating, Strength of Schedule, my NCAAB simulation, a possession-based estimate I use, the predicted game winner and the current betting line.

I don’t have any leans on today’s games, but I like Duke tomorrow if it gets to +4 and Michigan +2.5.

Good luck with your brackets and bets. Follow me on Twitter for all my picks.

2013 NCAA Tournament – Regional Semifinals

Today I am posting the simulations and ratings for all the 2013 NCAA Tournament Regional Semifinal games. The first round file is here, the second round file is here, and the third round file is here.

The results are based on simulations and don’t consider handicapping and situation angles. The purpose is to give a baseline estimation for each game and adjust for handicapping considerations.

CLICK HERE for a summary of the third round games. Note this file includes the Sagarin Rating, Strength of Schedule, my NCAAB simulation, a possession-based estimate I use, the predicted game winner and the current betting line.

Good luck with your brackets and bets. Follow me on Twitter for all my picks.

 

2013 NCAA Tournament – Third Round – UPDATED

Today I am posting the simulations and ratings for all the 2013 NCAA Tournament Third Round games. The first round file is here and the second round file is here.

The results are based on simulations and don’t consider handicapping and situation angles. The purpose is to give a baseline estimation for each game and adjust for handicapping considerations.

CLICK HERE for a summary of the third round games. Note this file includes the Sagarin Rating, Strength of Schedule, my NCAAB simulation, a possession-based estimate I use, the predicted game winner and the current betting line.

I will update this post tomorrow morning with the current lines for Sunday’s games.

Good luck with your brackets and bets. Follow me on Twitter for all my picks.

Update 3/24/13 – CLICK HERE for an update summary of games for Day 2 of the Third Round.

2013 NCAA Tournament – Second Round

Today I am posting the simulations and ratings for all the 2013 NCAA Tournament Second Round games. The first round file are here.

The results are based on simulations and don’t consider handicapping and situation angles. The purpose is to give a baseline estimation for each game and adjust for handicapping considerations.

CLICK HERE for a summary of the second round games. Note this file includes the Sagarin Rating, Strength of Schedule, my NCAAB simulation, a possession-based estimate I use, the predicted game winner and the current betting line.

Good luck with your brackets and bets. Follow me on Twitter for all my picks.

%d bloggers like this: