Update – June 17, 2014

The NBA and NHL are over…..at least we have the World Cup this year. Will have some tennis plays over the summer. No strong opinion on the late World Cup games today. Posted a play on Belgium last week. They just went up 2-1 but the match isn’t over yet. Just a few links and plays below today…..

A Message from DRF CEO on Tax Reform for Horseplayers

World Cup Notes Day 6 – FiveThirtyEight

Manziel’s Contract

Bettor’s favoring the Mariner’s tonight

Duncan to retire or return?

Plays

MLB
White Sox +110
Tigers -150
Blue Jays +160
SF/CHW Over 8.5
SDP/SEA Under 7.5
 
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The World Cup Starts Today, The World Cup Starts Today – June 12, 2014

World Cup, NBA Playoffs, MLB….Good Thursday in June! The Rangers survived last night but not sure they are still afloat after tomorrow. Expecting the Heat to even up the series tonight. I will be much more invested in the ML than the spread. Enjoy the games tonight.

World Cup Props from Covers

Non-WC Footie Transfer News

In case you missed this throw…

Just in case anyone plays the NA Cup this weekend

Plays

NBA 

Heat -5

Heat ML

MLB

CIN +115 (already started)

SDP -105 (already started)

PIT -115

DET/CHW Under 7

ARI/HOU Under 8.5

NYY +1.5

World Cup

Germany wins Group G -150

Chile -225 over Australia

Belgium -193 over Algeria

 

Horse Racing

Churchill R7 #10 Piceance

Santa Anita R8 #4 Eddie’s Turn

Follow me on Twitter. Good Luck!

UPDATE – June 11, 2014

After many months off, I am going to start posting regularly again. Not planning to post simulations everyday but will for certain games and tournaments. Also, will post match analysis, plays, links to articles I’m reading, and the occasional thoughts on handicapping and modeling.

 

Just a few links and plays today…….

 

2014 World Cup 

FiveThirtyEight’s World Cup Predictions

Interesting read from Goldman Sachs….”The World Cup and Economics 2014″

 

Horse Racing

Jockey7…..Why not?

 

Plays

NHL
NYR -140

 

MLB

CHC +121

NYM +110

LAA -130

ARI/HOU Under 8

ATL/COL Over 10

 

Considering a play on the Heat tomorrow and may have a few World Cup futures.

 

Follow me on Twitter. Good Luck!

 

2013 NCAA Tournament – Championship Game

Today I am posting the simulations and ratings for all the 2013 NCAA Tournament Regional Final games. The first round file is here, the second round file is here, the third round file is here, the Regional Semifinals file is here, the Regional Finals file is here, and the Final Four file is here.

The results are based on simulations and don’t consider handicapping and situation angles. The purpose is to give a baseline estimation for each game and adjust for handicapping considerations.

CLICK HERE for a summary of the third round games. Note this file includes the Sagarin Rating, Strength of Schedule, my NCAAB simulation, a possession-based estimate I use, the predicted game winner and the current betting line.

I am leaning Michigan +4.

Good luck with your brackets and bets. Follow me on Twitter for all my picks.

2013 NCAA Tournament – Final Four

Today I am posting the simulations and ratings for all the 2013 NCAA Tournament Regional Final games. The first round file is here, the second round file is here, the third round file is here, the Regional Semifinals file is here, and the Regional Finals file is here.

The results are based on simulations and don’t consider handicapping and situation angles. The purpose is to give a baseline estimation for each game and adjust for handicapping considerations.

CLICK HERE for a summary of the third round games. Note this file includes the Sagarin Rating, Strength of Schedule, my NCAAB simulation, a possession-based estimate I use, the predicted game winner and the current betting line.

Good luck with your brackets and bets. Follow me on Twitter for all my picks.

2013 NCAA Tournament – Regional Finals

Today I am posting the simulations and ratings for all the 2013 NCAA Tournament Regional Final games. The first round file is here, the second round file is here, the third round file is here, and the Regional Semifinals file is here.

The results are based on simulations and don’t consider handicapping and situation angles. The purpose is to give a baseline estimation for each game and adjust for handicapping considerations.

CLICK HERE for a summary of the third round games. Note this file includes the Sagarin Rating, Strength of Schedule, my NCAAB simulation, a possession-based estimate I use, the predicted game winner and the current betting line.

I don’t have any leans on today’s games, but I like Duke tomorrow if it gets to +4 and Michigan +2.5.

Good luck with your brackets and bets. Follow me on Twitter for all my picks.

2013 NCAA Tournament – Regional Semifinals

Today I am posting the simulations and ratings for all the 2013 NCAA Tournament Regional Semifinal games. The first round file is here, the second round file is here, and the third round file is here.

The results are based on simulations and don’t consider handicapping and situation angles. The purpose is to give a baseline estimation for each game and adjust for handicapping considerations.

CLICK HERE for a summary of the third round games. Note this file includes the Sagarin Rating, Strength of Schedule, my NCAAB simulation, a possession-based estimate I use, the predicted game winner and the current betting line.

Good luck with your brackets and bets. Follow me on Twitter for all my picks.

 

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