NFL Simulations – Wild-Card 2012

4 games on the NFL schedule. 3 system plays: CIN/HOU Over 42.5, BAL -7, SEA/WAS Over 46.

NFL system plays are 42-47-0 season to date.

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NFL Simulations – Week 17 2012

16 games on the NFL schedule. 12 system plays: TB/ATL Over 45.5, CIN -3, IND +6.5, HOU/IND Over 47, MIN +3, GB/MIN Over 45.5, NE -10, JAX/TEN Under 42.5, OAK/SD Over 40, SEA -11.5, STL/SEA Over 42.5, ARI/SF Over 38.5.

NFL system plays are 35-42-0 season to date.

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NFL Simulations – Week 16 2012

16 games on the NFL schedule. 10 system plays: DET +3.5, ATL/DET Over 50, CAR -8, DAL -2.5, KC +7, BUF/MIA Over 41.5, PHI +6, WAS/PHI Over 45.5, CLE/DEN Over 44.5, and SD +2.5.

NFL system plays are 30-37-0 season to date.

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Betting Notes – December 17, 2012

Just a few leans tonight. NBA: DET +7, and SAN/OKC Under 207. CBB: Cal Poly SLO +12, Montana St. +6, and Eastern Wash +6.

2-team teaser: Magic +9.5/Jets +7.

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Betting Notes – December 14, 2012

A few quick thoughts on today’s games.

NBA

Decent schedule tonight in the NBA. There are three game lines off from my fair line: TOR +1, IND -7, and MEM -3. The current lines are TOR +5, IND -5.5, and MEM +1. I like all 3 of these plays tonight. Also like Under 191 in the DET/BKN game.

Also had the fair lines in the MIN/NO and GS/ORL as NO -2 and ORL -1. Didn’t have enough to make a final case for either team but slight leans.

CBB

Like Charlotte tonight. I bet this at CHA +9 yesterday. The line is down to MIA -7.5 with 52% of side bets on MIA. Think there is still value here but would try to get +8.

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Betting Notes – December 13, 2012

A few quick thoughts on today’s games.

NBA

Only 3 games in the NBA tonight. Don’t feel to strong about any of the games. All of my fair lines for sides were very close to the current lines. I had the fair lines at: ATL -10, NYK -6, and POR +6. I won’t play any of these games. I had the fair total in the SAN/POR game at 201 but slightly lean Under in this spot. Leaning Over 206.5 in the LAL/NYK game.

NFL

The CIN/PHI lines are PHI +5.5 and O/U 45. 71% of the side bets are on CIN and 58% on the Under. I bet CIN -3 early in the week but wouldn’t touch CIN -5.5. I don’t feel as strong about this game as I did on Monday or Tuesday. CIN is a road favorite on a short week. The Bengals lost a close home game last week to a non-conference team and need a win to stay close in the playoff hunt. The Eagles don’t really have much to play for tonight. There is an angle with them as a home underdog in a non-division game after a road underdog conference win. If anything I may cover my original bet with PHI +5.5 for a 2-point middle. The total line feels right.

Slight lean to Belmont -2 tonight but expecting another close game between these two teams.

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NFL Simulations – Week 15 2012

16 games on the NFL schedule. 10 system plays: CHI +3, IND/HOU Over 48, TB/NO Over 54, DEN/BAL Over 48, BUF +5.5, SEA/BUF Over 44, SD -3, CAR/SD Under 45, SF +5.5, and NYJ +2.

NFL system plays are 25-32-0 season to date.

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