Betting Notes – December 13, 2012

A few quick thoughts on today’s games.

NBA

Only 3 games in the NBA tonight. Don’t feel to strong about any of the games. All of my fair lines for sides were very close to the current lines. I had the fair lines at: ATL -10, NYK -6, and POR +6. I won’t play any of these games. I had the fair total in the SAN/POR game at 201 but slightly lean Under in this spot. Leaning Over 206.5 in the LAL/NYK game.

NFL

The CIN/PHI lines are PHI +5.5 and O/U 45. 71% of the side bets are on CIN and 58% on the Under. I bet CIN -3 early in the week but wouldn’t touch CIN -5.5. I don’t feel as strong about this game as I did on Monday or Tuesday. CIN is a road favorite on a short week. The Bengals lost a close home game last week to a non-conference team and need a win to stay close in the playoff hunt. The Eagles don’t really have much to play for tonight. There is an angle with them as a home underdog in a non-division game after a road underdog conference win. If anything I may cover my original bet with PHI +5.5 for a 2-point middle. The total line feels right.

Slight lean to Belmont -2 tonight but expecting another close game between these two teams.

Follow me on Twitter for all my simulations. Good Luck!

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: