Betting Notes – December 6, 2012

A few quick thoughts on today’s games.

NBA

MIA comes off a loss to league worst Washington and faces a Knicks team that beat them by 20 points earlier this season. I had the fair line at MIA -5. The line opened at MIA -7. The current line is MIA -7.5 with 68% of bets on the Heat. The line is a bit high (but probably right for the books considering its MIA and revenge). Leaning MIA but will use them in a 2-team teaser.

The DAL/PHO line is PHO -3.5 with 63% of bets on the Suns. I don’t like the spot for either team. Dallas is playing back to back games. Dallas has played and scored poorly on the road. Phoenix is playing their first game home off a long 1-5 road trip. Leaning PHO but not playing this game.

NFL

2nd meeting between DEN and OAK this year. The DEN/OAK line is DEN -10 with a 48.5 total line. 64% of the bets are on DEN but the line has moved toward OAK. The Broncos rolled the Raiders in their first meeting in Denver. The Raiders should have McFadden back tonight. Denver is the heavy road favorite against a division team on a short week. Leaning Raiders and the Over in this one.

Playing  a 2-team teaser tonight MIA -2 and OAK +17.

Nothing in CBB tonight.

Follow me on Twitter for all my simulations. Good Luck!

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