Betting Notes – November 30, 2012

Thoughts on today’s games.

NBA

The BKN/ORL line is BKN -4.5. 74% of side bets are on Brooklyn. The Nets have already beaten Orlando twice this year (the first meeting was a 39 point beating). Brooklyn is coming of a big win at Boston and faces Miami tomorrow. I have the fair line at BKN -2. Definitely leaning Orlando here.

The DEN/LAL line is LAL -5 with 72% of bets on the Lakers. I like the spot here for the Lakers. Denver lost a close game last night at Golden State and faces a Lakers team with a couple of days rest and their 2nd game home from a road trip. I had the fair line at -4. A 2-team teaser with the Lakers and Orlando will be my play here.

PHO is coming of a 40-point loss. Generally, if the team is at least mediocre and has a pulse on defense, I would play this game. In this case, I think the line is fair at TOR -3 but lean PHO.

Played MIL +2.5 and UTA/OKC Under 203. The lines have moved on both and I like MIL up to -1. Wouldn’t go below 201.5 on the UTA/OKC total.

CFB

No strong feelings on the PAC 12 game tonight but slightly lean UCLA if the line gets back to +10. Lean Under on the total too.

Follow me on Twitter for all my simulations. Good Luck!

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