Betting Notes – November 30, 2012

Thoughts on today’s games.

NBA

The BKN/ORL line is BKN -4.5. 74% of side bets are on Brooklyn. The Nets have already beaten Orlando twice this year (the first meeting was a 39 point beating). Brooklyn is coming of a big win at Boston and faces Miami tomorrow. I have the fair line at BKN -2. Definitely leaning Orlando here.

The DEN/LAL line is LAL -5 with 72% of bets on the Lakers. I like the spot here for the Lakers. Denver lost a close game last night at Golden State and faces a Lakers team with a couple of days rest and their 2nd game home from a road trip. I had the fair line at -4. A 2-team teaser with the Lakers and Orlando will be my play here.

PHO is coming of a 40-point loss. Generally, if the team is at least mediocre and has a pulse on defense, I would play this game. In this case, I think the line is fair at TOR -3 but lean PHO.

Played MIL +2.5 and UTA/OKC Under 203. The lines have moved on both and I like MIL up to -1. Wouldn’t go below 201.5 on the UTA/OKC total.

CFB

No strong feelings on the PAC 12 game tonight but slightly lean UCLA if the line gets back to +10. Lean Under on the total too.

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NBA Simulations – November 30, 2012

11 games on today’s NBA schedule. 2 system plays: MIL +2.5 and UTA/OKC Under 203. System plays are 5-6-0 season to date.

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Betting Notes – November 29, 2012

Just a few thoughts on today’s games and upcoming games this weekend.

NFL

The NO/ATL line is floating around ATL -3 to -4. Side bets are split at 50%. The Total is down to 54 in some places after opening at 55.5. 62% of bets are on the Over. NO won the first meeting 3 weeks ago. No strong feelings on this game but I had the fair line closer to ATL -7. Considering revenge and the short week, I would slightly lean ATL if I could get the line at -3.

3 home dogs to look at this weekend. STL, MIA and TEN at +6 or better and getting 20% or less of  the bet action.

Like OAK this weekend. Have the fair line at OAK -3.

NBA

The SAN/MIA line is MIA -5.5 and O/U 205. I think MIA wins tonight but I had the fair line at MIA -3. SAN returns home Saturday after a 6-game road trip. Will definitely be looking at MEM in that game.

The DEN/GS line is DEN -1.5 and the O/U line is 200. I had the fair line at GS -2. I definitely lean GS in this spot. 2-team teaser with MIA and GS might be the only play I make here.

Keep an eye on the PHO/TOR game tomorrow night. Assuming the line is reasonable, I will be on Phoenix. Coming off an embarrassing 40-point loss, they should have a better showing. Similar situation to CHA last night. Coming off a 30+ point loss, I was taking them down to +5.

CBB

Not much on tonight’s games. Looking at 3 dogs playing mediocre (at best) teams. Troy +9, Fordham +7.5, and Southern Utah +10.

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NFL Simulations – Week 13 2012

16 games on the NFL schedule. 8 system plays: BUF -5.5, DET -5, CAR/KC Under 40.5, NE -7.5, HOU -6, SF/STL Over 40, OAK pk, CIN/SD Over 46.

NFL system plays are 22-21-0 season to date.

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NBA Simulations – November 29, 2012

2 games on today’s NBA schedule. No system plays. System plays are 5-6-0 season to date.

CLICK HERE for today’s NBA simulations.

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NBA Simulations – November 28, 2012

11 games on today’s NBA schedule. 3 system plays: BOS -3.5, DET -3, and CHI -6. System plays are 3-5-0 season to date.

Also like ORL +7.5 and CHA +9 tonight.

CLICK HERE for today’s NBA simulations.

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NBA Simulations – November 27, 2012

5 games on today’s NBA schedule. 1 system play: CLE +2.5. System plays are 3-4-0 season to date.

CLICK HERE for today’s NBA simulations.

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