Bet thoughts for Dec 14, 2011

Looked at several bets today. Didn’t like anything in the NHL. A few college basketball games caught my eye but not enough to make any plays.

Started with Tennessee at College of Charleston -2.5. Simulated the game at Charleston 79, Tennessee 71. This result points to CoC -2.5 and Over 143. Not biting on this game though. Too many questions in both teams. Tennessee feels like they are better than their record reflects. They have had a few tough road games. Not sold on Charleston yet; their schedule hasn’t been too tough and want to see how they do against a top-tier team who can score. Passing on both plays.

Probably the most interesting game today is Cincinnati -6 at Wright State. Not sure how good the actual play will be. More interested in how Cincinnati responds to last weekend’s brawl and the suspension of 4 players (including 2 starters). Wright State is a decent team, has a good home crowd, and has played some good teams. Simulated the game at Cincinnati 49, Wright State 45. The line has moved up to Cincinnati -6. Won’t be surprised if Wright State covers this game.

A few other games I simulated. Princeton 72, Rider 58. The line is Princeton -5.5 but not too interested in laying points on a mediocre road team. Auburn 61, South Florida 59. The line is Auburn -2. Auburn has only played 5 games and the 4 games they won were against weak competition; this one is too close to call. Pass.

Will be posting NFL simulations tomorrow. Follow me on Twitter for all my simulations. Good Luck!

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